God, AIDS, Africa & HOPE

Reflections / Gedanken

Year End 2025

A few random thoughts at the end of the year… translated from a German text for New Year’s Eve.

No one can claim that 2025 was a socially or politically boring year. Political upheavals are no longer in their infancy, but in full swing. And the consequences are brutally disruptive on many levels, destroying social cohesion and international law.

COVID and its consequences, the massive increase in mistrust of politics, and the constant bombardment and manipulation by social media are having an impact. Autocrats and corrupt financial and IT oligarchs are celebrating their unchecked power in the US, and it is becoming clear how the EU has failed/missed the opportunity to assume its rightful role and become independent of the whims of the US or China. Added to this is a continuing considerable ignorance of the neighboring continent of Africa, which is mainly seen as a supplier of raw materials and a threat due to refugees. In Gaza, the moral failure of the international community has become manifest – it seems that the world is entering a new spiral of the “Wild West,” where the power of the strongest is the only yardstick of politics. Right-wing parties in Europe, supported by the US, are also attempting to sabotage the achievements of democracy, law, and human rights and replace them with structures that appear more fascist in nature. In a nutshell: The world is a mess!

This naturally also has consequences for NGOs. Uncertainty and attacks on humanity, justice, and legal certainty; economic concerns and a lack of prospects always have an impact on the lives of non-governmental organizations. This is also because the work of NGOs is still widely viewed as pure charity. People donate when they can afford to, and when the future is uncertain, they hold back because they never know where they themselves will end up. This is true in private life, but also in economic circles.

For 2026, I hope that NGOs will increasingly be recognized for what they so often are in reality: entrepreneurs with the ability to respond to or create situations more quickly and precisely, which then offer prospects for all sides. It is not a one-way street. And as far as Africa is concerned, I hope that Europe will increasingly engage with the continent, which also offers prospects for Europe itself.

I hope that NGOs and the business community will cooperate much more in this context and understand that companies are not just financiers and NGOs are not just naive do-gooders. Together, they could also formulate a narrative that for example currently seems impossible in mainstream politics in Germany. A narrative that removes Africa from the politicized and almost standardized ongoing battle over the dangers of refugee flows and asylum, and thus finally returns this issue to a level of discussion that advances society and the economy.

My wish for 2026 is that we achieve greater ethics and less colonialism in the skilled labour sector. We need strategies that enable a genuine win-win-win situation—not on paper, but in reality. A perspective that also takes age structure of countries into account and perhaps considers questions of location and investment, but also where work is generally heading in the age of AI. Bi-national training would also be an issue here. Looking for short-term solutions means complicating things in the long term. It is necessary to think from the end. For this to happen, politics must be much more connected to reality. And that means fewer professional politicians in parliament, but rather people who have social or economic expertise from their own experience. And that brings us back to the question of trust in democracy – and what needs to be better or different.

In times like these, we can spend our time complaining—or we can do what NGOs like HOPE Cape Town are doing: reflect, take action, and develop strategies that point to the future. Giving up or bowing to the radical right-wing Zeitgeist is not an option. People gain convictions by seeing and experiencing that their lives are becoming better or even more meaningful. While social media is currently playing a rather negative global role, it is important to counter this trend with positive news. The message of Christmas spoke of “people of good will.” I believe that this is the majority of the world’s population—and the statement is not meant or understood in a pious sense, but rather refers to everyone in their place, beyond the realm of privacy—in a very practical and down-to-earth way.

People who tackle problems head-on, an EU that is aware of its own status and potential as a bastion of economic power, democracy, and prospects, and acts accordingly; an image of Africa that sees the opportunities and not just the dangers; and an African continent that is confidently less reliant on handouts, but contributes its positive qualities and truly becomes a partner — may 2026 bring us solutions strong enough to carry us in the right direction.

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Europe has no future without Africa

Economic refugees, asylum seekers, skilled workers, war refugees: anyone listening to European politicians in debates or on social media today can lose track of realities. Anyone who gets caught in Germany between the fronts of the populist debate with the right-wing party called AfD often completely loses touch with reality and has no chance of really understanding the intricacies of the issue of asylum and immigration. And this will only increase in the course of the German federal elections in 2025 and the campaign to fish on the fringes of the political extreme right.

Another victim of this situation is the view that many people have of Africa and the role that this large continent will and must play in a few decades if Europe wants to have a future. Refugee issues as well as poverty and hunger scenarios on the continent of Africa obscure many facts, for example:

Africa will account for more than half of the world’s young working population in 25 years’ time. Consumption and value creation will take place on this continent.
Africa possesses a large proportion of the mineral resources that are required for the further development of technology.
Particularly in the field of communication technology and renewable energy, Africa is leapfrogging many of the stages in which Europe is still caught up.

But Africa will only be able to play this role if it is prepared. This includes an exchange of information and skills on an equal footing. It also requires Europeans to realise that many environmental and status issues cannot continue in this way, with the corresponding practical consequences. It also includes a real end to colonial thinking and a corresponding development policy.

This also includes an end to the unspeakable refugee policy of European countries, which, instead of genuinely tackling the causes on an equal footing, repeatedly fall back into the old patterns: building walls, pushing refugees onto each other and often ignoring the historical causes and future realities. It is precisely here that the lack of imagination and foresight in politics and the limits of a European spirit of joint political action become very clear.

Of course, Africa and many of the 54 states must also do their homework. This certainly includes the issue of co-operation, but also honesty in looking at their own history and the relations between African countries. Corruption remains an important issue, as does democracy in African culture.

Ultimately, this includes, above all, providing young people in Africa with an education and training that is geared towards this future. Really looking at what the jobs of the future will be. Realising how climate change will change the conditions for human life and work, especially on this continent.

The challenges are complex – and only together will there be a future for the people of both continents. If the ‘America first’ policy in President-elect Trump’s version becomes reality, then it is high time for Europe to wake up and look to its neighbour Africa.

And this is where the many non-governmental organisations come into play. They can become a bridge of communication, learning and engagement at eye level for politics and business. For a good future to become a reality, business and NGOs in particular must give up their normal dance for a little charity and donations and develop joint synergies to enable life, health and a good education on both continents.

The issue is complex and certainly sometimes difficult to communicate to people who have lost confidence in politics. Here too, the NGO level can often assist with the credibility of arguments.

See the original German text under the headline: “Texte in Deutsch

Filed under: Africa, General, HOPE Cape Town Association & Trust, HOPE Cape Town Trust, Networking, Politics and Society, Reflection, SA-German Chamber of Commerce & Industry, Society and living environment, South Africa, The Nex - Indawo Yethu, vocational training, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Change in the world in lightning’s speed

We have to be honest: The world has changed now twice in the last two years with the speed of lightning, and what was considered normal is now the good – or not so good – old times. And most people struggle to run behind and catch up with what’s happening.

There was first the Covid-19 pandemic – lockdowns, limitation of movement, the advent of virtual meetings as a new normal, civil liberties put on hold and countries punished and isolated because they were considered a threat – often more a gut-feeling of politicians or anxiety of political decision maker.

The threat for the human race already lurking in form of the climate change at every corner humanity passes, got an add-on in a small little virus, who loves the density of humans living closely together and expanding into nature in a speed unimaginable 100 years ago.

Now the bloody war against Ukraine – and our world-view changed overnight again:

Looking at Germany or the EU:
Having had a hard-line approach against immigrants and refugees coming from East Europe; looking down at that time on Ukraine as almost a failed and corrupt state with a comedian as president – rather only interested in certain aspects pertaining to the country – we now celebrate the bravery of the Ukrainian people and even sending buses to get as many refugees as possible for free into the European Union.

And suddenly the Johnsons, Orbans and all the other questionable politicians are out of scrutiny; such crisis situations lift suddenly even average politicians and the realisation of the political ignorance towards Russia in the past overrides finding the time for proper analysis and judgement.

Add to this the feeling of powerlessness of people including politicians and their emotional state coming out of a pandemic, we have to watch out not to miss out the balance between what is needed to be done and what is needed to be avoided in the future.

The changes of stopping a mad-man like Putin are slim or almost non-existing. The naivety of the EU (or better wanting to keep and eat the cake at the same time in respect of Russia) and obviously the poison of the Trump years and the downfall of the USA as the world policeman with dark shadows triggers more questions of how international relationships will be governed and organised in the future.

Looking at China’s hunger for power and its relationship with Taiwan, the next big drama is waiting to unfold. And there is Africa with all the aspirations and projected failures in the years to come while being one of the biggest economic markets in the future. Not to forget the reorganisation of the UN – the order established after World War II is coming to an end. The veto powers of some nations will have to be abolished in the current system – and this will not go without a fight.

So more dramatic changes are on the horizon. We have just to watch out, that we can digest as people and as societies what is happening. And not lose hope on the way to other new normals. An one encouragement in this respect is certainly the overwhelming willingness to help the victims of Russian aggression, as seen almost everywhere around the globe.

Filed under: General, Politics and Society, Reflection, Society and living environment, Uncategorized, , , , , , , , ,

Still lots of questions…

Insanity is the word I am finding the most appropriate looking at the situation in the Ukraine – especially looking at the history. Helplessness and failure are following on place two and three.

Since Ukraine eight years ago – after a pro-European protest movement toppled a Kremlin-backed president – turned more to the West, the conflict is simmering between NATO and Russia on Ukraine.

We all knew that there was talk after the disintegration of the UDSSR that the western countries will not expand their military alliance towards the Russian borders; even if it was never signed off formally.
I am sure the elderly amongst us still recall the attempt of Russia to install rockets on Cuba in the sixties, and the threat of a nuclear war from then-president J.F.Kennedy, arguing that his country cannot allow such weapons close to the border reaching US territory.

Nothing has changed in this regard – and listening to Angela Merkel back some years stating, that Vladimir Putin lives in his very own world – indicating that this world was far away from any reality.

So my question after rightly condemning the attack with all arguments and emotions – also recalling my visit to Odessa and other Ukrainian cities and worrying about people I met – so my question would be how we can leave the black/white scenario and come to an honest analysis asking the hard questions:

When politics is the art of the possible – was it really necessary to flirt with the NATO membership of Ukraine – which, in fact, was years away?
When politics is the art of the possible – has nobody noticed the brutality with which Zar-like Putin tried to reconvene the “good old times” of a Great Russia – killing every dissent, allowing even for state sponsored murder outside Russia – completely ruthless and without hesitance?

Taking the Crimea was the next step of Putin to announce to the world that he will not allow for the expansion of NATO; and if we are honest, the soft reaction of the West – being dependent on energy from Russia – was rather an encouragement, as in his world, weakness will be used as a sign of reinforcement that he has the upper hand to do, what he feels is appropriate.

Of course, the Trump presidency weakened any hard stance on Russia worldwide – the earlier super-power, now in the grip of fake news and its own battle to remain white male dominant and partly living in a world which is as abstruse and far away from reality as the Russian leader’s one.

And for those really watching closer, the war against Ukraine has another danger for the future: look at China’s reaction: While standing with Russia, China still insists that borders should be respected – but we all know, that the country does not consider Taiwan a country – watch the space. A very unholy alliance is being formed by Russia and China – threatening the very fabric of human rights, civil liberties and the individual freedoms.

So what to do?
Sanctions are threatened and executed – and realising the money flows before the war started, Moscow has prepared itself for quite some time bringing money back into its country. Cutting the SWIFT link would be the sharpest sword, but looking especially at Germany and the Netherlands – it is doubtful that sanctions are called which hurts the own countries. So I guess it will again be those not so much hurting ones – obviously called different by politicians needing to reassure themselves. One has to sound harsh and determined. Too little too late?

So what to do?
Listening to Putin’s indeed on madness bordering speech ordering the invasion, it is clear that common sense will not work and that the limitations of politics as an art of the possible are very tight. As long as the USA flirts with another round of madman Trump and his fascist tendencies, love for fake news and adoration for dictators – like it or not – helplessness will remain the topic of the day.

As long as Europe is still struggling to understand what it really wants and to consequently lives it values and strengthen its determination to be a beacon of hope for democracy and the rule of law, speaking with one voice instead of bitching around and leaders often only trying to push through their countries’ agenda, there is always the gap people like Putin will abuse for own gains and for the own agenda.

While we experience worldwide more and more leaders being relentless and shameless in pushing through their agenda, one can observe on the other site those politicians without really a point of view and determined to be political correct, whatever this means. Most political systems allow meanwhile for people who never have worked, finished a training or study, and they would never survive in the real world, but the chance of being a life-long politician comes to the rescue. A combination which is simply not working on a long term.

A war in Europe – like the pandemic it throws at us a lot of questions, a lot of challenges, a lot of question marks. And as painful it is, we have to stand up to all of it.

A war in Europe – like the pandemic it triggers in us a lot of emotions, a lot of fear and anger, a lot of desperation, and it shows a lot of limitation of what we can do to stop it or deal meaningful with it.

War is always a defeat for humanity, a defeat for politics, and a defeat for the entire human race. It screams for healing and ethical answers.

I don’t have those answers, but all the questions should push all of us to dig deep into ourselves to find the bits and pieces contributing to an answer as societies which holds a meaningful future and limits the craziness of war and hostilities. Because at the end, war and hostilities make us all to be losers.

To read the mind-boggling speech of Vladimir Putin ordering war, please click here.

Filed under: General, Politics and Society, Reflection, Society and living environment, Uncategorized, , , , , , , , , , ,

Punished – and some general thoughts…

Let’s face it: South Africa has very good genomic sequencing capacity and capability – within a year, twice it made the world aware of a mutation of concern – and twice the world thanked it with shutting down air traffic and simply ignored the fact, that discovery does not mean it originated in the country of discovery; and also take into account that livelihoods and lives are destroyed.

Countries of the EU, a community of values, as they proudly proclaim, hoard medical resources, make sure that vaccines come first in high volumes to their citizens – even knowing, that a pandemic can only be beaten or influenced if and when all human beings have the chance to be protected. There is no protection for one country.

They also set the rules – switching economies of countries on and off – in this case tourism in South Africa, as they see fit. But what can you expect from a community of values, which let refugees drown while fighting amongst each other what to do and how to solve the problem.

Covid-19 has in so many ways changed the perspective: human mankind is not that advanced as we thought, ethical behaviour or concern for the next or the society one lives in does not matter for quite a portion of humans, “Querdenker” and those believing in all the fantastic myths when it comes to vaccinations show clearly that stupidity has no ceiling and irrationality no limitations. Listening to one of this “Querdenker” proclaiming that every vaccination is an injection to kill the person leaves every decent person wondering.

Of course, governments have their share in contributing to confuse people.
In Germany, for example, trying to be political correct and avoiding clear statements and rules gave oxygen to those militant vaccine opposition forces. Having ignored the pandemic during the last phase of national elections brought the country to where it is currently.

In South Africa, the president himself welcomed the first 1.2 million AstraZeneca vaccines, only to kick them out of the country and entertain the certainly weaker alternative of J&J as a trial phase. This did not create trust in a society which anyhow does not trust government in general. Also here, during local election time all rules were relaxed for the sake of political events.

Where from here?

Firstly, we have to acknowledge that we are all in it together – tribes or countries can not do it alone.

Secondly, we cannot continue to punish excellence, and we have to balance risk and livelihood. Knee-jerked reactions are not helping. We have to learn to live with the virus – and it is the nature of the beast that mutations happen every day.

Thirdly – vaccinations are the only real way forward – the longer governments wait and entertain all the anti-vax nonsense, the longer the drama continues.

Fourthly, a comment regarding churches: there is a lot of space still to be occupied in taking a stance pro vaccinations.

Fifth, let’s face it: our systems are not holding for the challenges we partly created ourselves in overpopulating the planet and thinking, we are the masters of the universe. The advances in IT, social media and AI have changed dramatically the way, people feel and feel connected. The ways democracy works are partly not equipped to face modern times challenges. Our path of living outruns our ability to understand and react. The interconnectivity of matters is partly so complicated, that we lose oversight.

It is time to reflect and come to senses: be it Covid-19, be it climate change, be it the relationship between Africa and Europe. Because if not, there is one certainty: this world and the universe can easily exist without the human race.

Filed under: Africa, Politics and Society, Reflection, Society and living environment, Uncategorized, , , , , ,

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